Market Intel Weekly
Ceasefire Talks Stir Rotation: Meet the Sector You Never Knew Was Vulnerable
ByFRC Analysts
*Disseminated on behalf of Pulsar Helium, Southern Silver Exploration, Tartisan Nickel, First Phosphate, Trident Resources, Sonoro Gold, Monument Mining, Zepp Health, Enterprise Group.
* All figures are in C$ unless otherwise noted, except for commodity prices, which are in US$.
In this edition, we review the performance of our two portfolios.
- FRC Top Picks: Last week, companies on our list were up 5.6% on average vs 4.6% for the TSXV. Visit the full list by sector.
- Fair Value Model Picks: Since the portfolio’s launch on February 9, 2026, our picks are down 0.02% on average, compared with a 5.34% decline for the benchmark (S&P 500). View the full list by sector.
*Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
Equity markets rebounded on ceasefire talks, led by Basic Materials, Industrials, and Consumer Cyclicals, all of which had been heavily sold off since the Middle East conflict began. This rotation aligns with what we have been highlighting in recent weeks: any signs of de-escalation could trigger sharp rebounds in the most beaten-down sectors, especially Basic Materials. Meanwhile, Energy, previously the top-performing sector, fell sharply, and Consumer Defensive lagged, as investors rotated back into cyclical areas. We believe markets remain vulnerable, as there is no guarantee of a lasting resolution, leaving the duration and outcome of the conflict uncertain.
We also cover material developments from companies under our coverage, including resource juniors focused on silver, nickel, and phosphate. In addition, we spotlight helium, a sector whose supply vulnerabilities were unexpectedly exposed by the Middle East crisis, along with a standout helium exploration and development company.
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