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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? — Prediction Markets | FRC

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Prediction MarketsPowered by Polymarket

geopolitics politics middle-east

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$27.7M Vol.Dec 31, 20263

28%chance

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Market consensus

28%

chance

Market

1

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

$27.8M Vol.↑2%28%

1

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

↑2%28%

$27.8M Vol.

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.