• With gold trading near record highs, we anticipate increased M&A activity over the next 12 months. We maintain a positive outlook on gold prices, anticipating continued US$ weakness, strong demand for safe-haven assets amidst economic and geopolitical uncertainties, and the potential for a global showdown in GDP.
  • FY2025 production at MMY’s 100%-owned Selinsing gold mine in Malaysia rose 22% YoY to 39 Koz, beating our estimate by 5% on higher throughput and recoveries.
  • Cash costs fell 6% YoY to $814/oz, below our $881/oz estimate. Revenue rose 92% YoY, and EPS surged 481%, beating our forecasts by 17% and 38%, respectively. The balance sheet strengthened with $59M in working capital, and no debt.
  • The company is planning a resource upgrade drill program aimed at potentially converting inferred to M&I resources. MMY has not engaged in exploration at its Murchison gold project in Australia lately, but management intends to start with historical resource confirmation drilling, and regional geological analysis.
  • We are raising our FY2026 EPS estimate from $0.08 to $0.17 on higher gold prices, stronger-than-expected Q4-FY2025 production, and lower-than-anticipated cash costs.

Price and Volume (1-year)

  YTD 12M
KIDZ 50% 25%
TSXV 13% 15%

*Qualified Person (2019 Resource Estimate) - Frank Blanchfield, an employee of Snowden

* Monument Mining Limited has paid FRC a fee for research coverage and distribution of reports. All figures in US$ unless otherwise specified. See last page for other important disclosures, rating, and risk definitions. 

Portfolio Summary

Owns a producing gold mine in Malaysia, and exploration projects in Western Australia

Total compliant resources of over 1.2 Moz Au 

Production (Year-End: June 30th) - Oz

MMY has been processing sulphide materials since December 2022, producing a total of 77 Koz by June 2025

Source: FRC / Company

Q4 production was up 3% YoY, and 29% QoQ; FY2025 production was up 22% YoY to 39 Koz, beating our estimate by 5%, driven by higher throughput and recoveries

While grade volatility is normal for miners, recoveries improved due to plant enhancements, and optimization 


Cash Costs Per Oz

Source: FRC / Company

Driven by higher production, FY2025 cash costs were down 6% YoY to $814/oz, vs our estimate of $881/oz

Gross profit was up 71% YoY to $2,133/oz

Reserves and Resources (Snowden NI 43-101 Technical Report: 2019)

*Qualified Person - Frank Blanchfield, an employee of Snowden

Source: Company

With 550-600 Koz of sulfide resources remaining, we believe the mine could produce for approximately 12 more years

Financials (Year-End: June 30th)

Driven by higher production and gold prices, FY2025 revenue rose 92% YoY, EBITDA 181%, and EPS 481%

Revenue topped our forecast by 17%, with EPS ahead by 38%

Margins improved across the board and remained well above sector averages

FCF surged 600% YoY

Source: FRC / Company

As a result, the balance sheet strengthened, with $59M in working capital and no debt 


FRC Projections and Valuation

With production surpassing our forecasts and higher gold prices, we are raising our estimates across the board

Source: FRC/S&P Capital IQ

Sector multiples have risen 46% since our June 2025 report, reflecting a sharp increase in sector sentiment

MMY is trading at a 50% discount (previously 69%) to comparable junior gold miners

Applying sector multiples, we arrived at a fair value estimate of C $1.64/share (previously C$0.69/share) on the Selinsing mine

Our DCF valuation on Selinsing is C$0.80/share (previously C$0.56/share), driven by higher EBITDA forecasts

Source: FRC

Using a sum-of-parts valuation, we arrived at a fair value estimate of C$1.50/share (previously C$0.84/share)

We are reiterating our BUY rating, and raising our fair value estimate from C$0.84 to C$1.50/share. We believe MMY’s impressive FY2025 results , robust production growth, and healthy balance sheet set the stage for further upside potential. Despite a 2 17 % YTD gain, the stock remains deeply undervalued relative to peers. We maintain a positive outlook , and expect FY2026 to be another strong year.

Risks

We believe the company is exposed to the following key risks: The value of the company is dependent on gold prices FOREX

  • The value of the company is dependent on gold prices 
  • FOREX
  • Operational 

 

  • Exploration and development 

Given the company’s successful demonstration of its ability to ramp up production, we are lowering our risk rating from 4 to 3 (Average) 

APPENDIX