• MSFT is investing $10B in artificial intelligence (AI) developer OpenAI. Although we believe OpenAI’s tools and solutions can be incorporated into MSFT’s products, we have not included any upside potential from this deal in our valuation models, for conservatism.
  • NASDAQ and MSFT are up 11% and 13%, respectively, since our last report in November 2022. However, we expect tech stocks to be under pressure in the near-term, amid slowing global economic growth.
  • We are lowering our fair value estimate by 4%, and adjusting our rating from BUY to HOLD. Note that 27 of the 34 analysts covering MSFT have a BUY rating.