• We believe this transaction enables CMC to fully concentrate on its other projects in B.C., and the Yukon.
  • The company has also completed an updated resource estimate on its Silver Hart project (located 55 km north of Silverknife) in Yukon. Resources increased 18% to 8.8 Moz AgEq. However, grades declined 75%, as lower-grade materials were included in the revised estimate. We believe there is potential for resource expansion, as the project has not been fully drill-tested. Additionally, there is an opportunity to delineate resources from the adjacent Blue Heaven property. Management plans to initiate studies to assess the potential for a small-scale open-pit operation at Silver Hart.
  • Recent sampling at the Amy silver-lead-zinc property yielded ultra-high grades of up to 643 g/t Ag, 18.76% Pb, 8.3% Zn, and 9.7% Mn. Mineralized zones, extending up to 2.6 km, suggest potential for high-grade silver-lead-zinc carbonate replacement (CRD) mineralization. Management plans to conduct a drill program next year.
  • Following our last report in January 2024, CMC decided to terminate its agreement to acquire the Gavilanes project in Durango, a property with small-tonnage and high-grade inferred resources. This decision has adversely impacted our fair value estimate.
  • We maintain a positive outlook on silver/gold prices, in light of the anticipated rate cuts by the Fed, and elevated geopolitical tensions.
  • Upcoming catalysts include metallurgical testing and ore sorting at Silver Hart, and drilling at Amy. CMB is trading at $0.14/oz AgEq vs the sector average of $0.88/oz, an 84% discount. 

Price Performance (1-year)

 

  YTD 12M
CMB -50% -67%
TSXV 11% 16%

 

Portfolio Summary

Targeting silver-focused polymetallic projects in Canada. Three properties with resource estimates, one of which is optioned to Coeur

 

Last month, CMB entered into an agreement with Coeur, wherein Coeur can acquire a 100% interest in the property for $2.75M in cash, and $3.55M in exploration expenditures, valuing the property at $6.30M. Given CMC’s 100% ownership of the project, and its $3M MCAP, it appears the market is not only undervaluing Silverknife, but also completely disregarding the value of CMC’s other assets.

Located in the Ranchera silver district, 8 km west of the Silvertip mine, covering 954 hectares

Amy Project, B.C.

Past exploration has identified several mineralized showings, comprised of high-grade, carbon replacement (CRD) style silver-lead-zinc veins. In November 2024, 23 samples from outcrops, trench, and dump samples returned ultra-high grades of up to 643 g/t Ag, 18.76% Pb, 8.3% Zn, and 9.7% Mn.

Hosts a small, historic resource totaling 79.8 Kt of 367 g/t Ag, 6% Zn, and 2.8% Pb

 

Existing infrastructure includes 742 m of drift/adit development. Mapping has identified vein/manto systems extending up to 2.6 km at surface 

Recent sampling yielded ultra-high grades. CMC is preparing for a 10,000 m drill program in 2025, and plans to initiate its permitting process shortly

 

Silver Hart Project, Yukon 

Located in the Rancheria silver district. 50 km northwest of the recently optioned Silverknife project. Existing infrastructure includes 673 m of underground development

 

Resources increased by 18% to 8.8 Moz AgEq. Grades declined by 75% to 145 g/t AgEq, implying higher OPEX, as lower-grade materials were included in the new estimate

The current resource spans five zones over a 1.4 km strike length, and is suitable for open-pit mining, whereas the previous estimate focused on only one zone. Although we were disappointed by the steep decline in grades in the new resource estimate, we note that the project remains in  early stages

We believe there is potential for resource expansion, as the project has yet to be fully drill-tested

Additionally, there is an opportunity to delineate resources from the adjacent Blue Heaven property

 

Management plans to initiate metallurgical, and ore sorting technology studies, to evaluate the feasibility of a small-scale open-pit operation at Silver Hart.

 

Upcoming Catalysts

  • Silver Hart: Metallurgical testing and ore sorting studies
  • Amy: Permitting, followed by drilling
  • Other Projects: Exploring potential joint venture or option partnerships

 

Financials 

We anticipate CMC will pursue a $1-$2M equity financing shortly

 

 

FRC Valuation 

Silver juniors are trading at $0.88/oz (previously $0.77/oz). CMB is trading at $0.14/oz (previously $0.34/oz), an 84% discount 

Applying the sector average multiple of $0.88/oz, we arrived at a fair value estimate of $0.12/share (previously $0.17/share)

Our valuation was adversely impacted by CMC's decision to back out of its previously announced intent to acquire the Gavilanes project in Durango

 

We are reiterating our BUY rating, and adjusting our fair value estimate from $0.17 to $0.12/share. CMC's strategic partnership with Coeur highlights the significant potential of the Silverknife project. The recent Silver Hart resource update presented mixed results; while the increase in resources positively impacted valuation, the decline in grades was disappointing. We believe the company's diverse project pipeline and promising exploration results at Amy present significant growth potential.

 

Risks

We believe the company is exposed to the following risks:

 

  • The value of the company is dependent on commodity prices
  • Exploration and development 
  • Access to capital and potential for share dilution
  • No guarantee that the company will be able to advance all its projects simultaneously