Report Highlights

  • MMY is up 103% YoY, significantly outperforming gold (up 35%), and the VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (up 42%), yet remains deeply undervalued at 1.0x forward EBITDA, compared to the sector average of 5.4x, an 83% discount.
  • In Q2-FY2025 (ended December 2024), MMY produced 8.6 Koz from its 100% owned Selinsing gold mine in Malaysia, up 26% YoY, beating our estimate by 4%. Production growth came from higher grades and recoveries. While grade volatility is normal for miners, recoveries improved due to plant enhancements and optimization. As a result, we believe recoveries will likely exceed those of previous quarters going forward.
  • Gross profit was up 67% YoY, and 4% QoQ, to $1,760/oz. Revenue was up 2% QoQ, and 80% YoY, beating our estimate by 13%, driven by higher production and gold prices. Although EBITDA was relatively flat QoQ, EPS improved due to FOREX gains from a stronger US$, exceeding our forecast by 42%.