This Smartwatch Gets Stellar Reviews; Solid Updates from Potash, Gas, Copper, and Gold Juniors
Published: 11/25/2024
Author: FRC Analysts
Highlights
In this edition, we analyze the performance of our top picks, including a potash junior under coverage, whose shares rose 17% last week. We also highlight important updates from a leading global smartwatch maker, an international gas producer, and copper/gold juniors.
- Gain insights into companies under coverage that experienced significant developments last week, along with our analysts' commentary and actionable takeaways.
- FRC top picks and standout performers from the past week
Commentary on Resource Companies Under Coverage
DLP Resources Inc. (DLPRF, DLP)
PR Title: Additional drill results from the Aurora copper-molybdenum-silver project (Peru)
Analyst Opinion: Positive – New drill holes from the Aurora project returned significant mineralization over long intervals, including 303 m of 0.49% CuEq, within a broader 1,190 m interval averaging 0.32%. We believe the project has the potential to host a large tonnage deposit, with molybdenum grades higher than those typically found in porphyry deposits. As detailed in our initiating report earlier this month, we believe the project has the potential to host over 5 Blbs CuEq. Management is aiming to complete a maiden resource estimate in Q1-2025.
Contango Ore, Inc. (CTGO)
PR Title: Drill results from the Johnson Tract (JT) project in Alaska, U.S.
Analyst Opinion: Positive – All 21 holes of a recent infill drill campaign returned thick, high-grade intercepts, including 5 m of 11.5 g/t AuEq, and 93 m of 9.1 g/t. The ultra high-grade JT project hosts 1.1 Moz AuEq at 9 gpt. CTGO plans to accelerate production at JT through a Direct Shipping Ore (DSO) model, similar to the strategy used at its flagship Manh Choh mine.
CMC Metals Ltd. (CMB.V, CMCXF)
PR Title: Options the Silverknife property; high-grade surface sampling results from the Amy project (B.C.)
Analyst Opinion: Positive – CMB has optioned its Silverknife property to Coeur Mining (NYSE: CDE). Coeur can acquire a 100% interest in the property for $6.3M in cash and exploration expenditures. Given CMC’s 100% ownership of the project, and its $3M MCAP, it appears the market is not only undervaluing Silverknife, but also completely disregarding the value of CMC’s other assets. Note that Silverknife is just 1.1 km from Coeur’s Silvertip mine; one of the highest-grade silver-zinc-lead mines in the world. Surface sampling at the Amy property yielded impressive results, revealing high-grade mineralization with up to 643 g/t silver, 18.76% lead, 8.3% zinc, and 9.7% manganese. These mineralized zones, extending over 2.6 km, indicate potential for high-grade silver-lead-zinc carbon replacement (CRD) mineralization. Management is planning a drill program in 2025.
Millennial Potash Corp. (MLP.V)
PR Title: Announces a $3.4M equity financing
Analyst Opinion: Positive – Proceeds will fund exploration and development of the Banio potash project in Gabon, Western Africa. A recent Preliminary Economic Assessment returned an AT-NPV10% of US$1.1B, and a high AT-IRR of 33%, using a 25-year average price of US$387/t of granular Muriate of Potash (gMOP) vs the spot price of US$300/t. MLP is trading at <3% of its AT-NPV.
Updates on Financials, Technology, Energy, and Special Situations Companies Under Coverage
PR Title: Announces a $15M brokered equity financing
Analyst Opinion: Positive - Proceeds will be used to fund an ongoing workover program on CDR's gas fields in Uzbekistan. The company's largest investor, Eurasia Resource Value (a Cyprus-based institutional investor), will be a lead investor in the current financing, demonstrating their continued confidence in CDR's initiatives.
The company's production has increased to 11,066 boed, up 11% from the Q3 average. We were only anticipating a 7% increase in Q4. We anticipate record revenue and EPS in 2024 and 2025. CDR is up 39% since we initiated coverage last month.
Zepp Health Corporation /NYSE:ZEPP
PR Title: Zepp's T-Rex 3: A Strong Start
Analyst Opinion: Positive - Zepp's latest launch, the T-Rex 3, has been receiving great reviews from consumers and critics alike. Launched in September 2024, the T-Rex 3 is a rugged and affordable GPS smartwatch.
Last week, CNET (a YouTube channel with 4M subscribers) included the T-Rex 3 in a video titled "The Best Wearable Tech of 2024". The reviewer praised its long battery life, durable design, AI capabilities, and bright screen, noting it as "good value" despite its larger size and less-than-ideal app experience. Management anticipates Q4 revenue to rise 30-60% QoQ, with the T-Rex 3 as a key contributor to growth.
FRC Top Picks
The following table shows last week’s top five performers among our Top Picks. The top performer, Millennial Potash (TSXV: MLP), was up 17%, primarily driven by the equity financing announcement mentioned above.
| Millennial Potash Corp. (MLP.V) | 16.9% |
| Enterprise Group, Inc. (E.TO) | 16.0% |
| Starcore International Mines Ltd. (SAM.TO) | 14.3% |
| World Copper Ltd. (WCU.V) | 14.3% |
| E3 Lithium Limited (ETL.V) | 12.5% |
* Past performance is not indicative of future performance (as of Nov 25, 2024)
Our top picks have outperformed the benchmark (TSXV) in four out of seven time periods listed below.
Performance by Sector
| Total Return | 1 Week | 1 mo | 3 mo | 6 mo | 1 yr | 3 yr | Since launch |
| Mining | -0.1% | -9.4% | 11.8% | -10.7% | 23.6% | -39.7% | -1.6% |
| Cannabis | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | -30.6% | -23.6% |
| Tech | 0.0% | 0.0% | -11.1% | -20.0% | -40.0% | -30.4% | -4.8% |
| Special Situations (MIC) | 4.0% | -5.3% | 21.9% | 43.4% | 54.1% | -27.2% | 9.6% |
| Private Companies | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | 6.7% | 20.5% | 30.5% |
| Portfolio (Total) | 0.0% | -8.2% | 11.8% | -2.3% | 22.0% | -21.5% | 6.9% |
| Benchmark (Total) | 1.2% | -3.0% | 4.0% | -0.8% | 13.6% | -36.3% | -32.1% |
| Portfolio (Annualized) | - | - | - | - | 22.0% | -7.7% | 0.6% |
| Benchmark (Annualized) | - | - | - | - | 13.6% | -14.0% | -3.5% |
1. Since the earliest initiating date of companies in the list of Top Picks (as of Nov 25, 2024)
2. Green (blue) indicates FRC's picks outperformed (underperformed) the benchmark.
3. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.
